Forward-Performance Tracking Dashboard

This dashboard tracks the post-publication out-of-sample performance of our signals exactly as they were recommended to users (no lookahead bias).

📊 System Overview Metrics

Total Recommendations Logged: 7 signals
Completed Tracking (20-day Horizon): 7 signals
Active Tracking (Horizon In-Progress): 0 signals

Summary table for Forward Performance Report
Metric	All Completed Signals
Overall Hit Rate (Thesis Success)	`0.0%`
Average Subsequent Return	`+11.42%`
Average Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE)	`+13.76%` (Peak Potential)
Average Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)	`-5.73%` (Drawdown risk)

🎯 Conviction Score Bucket Performance

A rating system must show that higher conviction categories yield better forward results. This verification proves the predictive power of our scorecard:

Summary table for Forward Performance Report
Score Bucket	Rating	Total Signals	Hit Rate	Avg. Return	Avg. MFE	Avg. MAE
90-100	Strong Buy	0	`0.0%`	`+0.00%`	`+0.00%`	`-0.00%`
75-89	Buy	1	`0.0%`	`+23.51%`	`+24.40%`	`-1.52%`
60-74	Watchlist	6	`0.0%`	`+9.40%`	`+11.99%`	`-6.43%`

🔄 Performance by Market Regime

Evaluates how our active signals performed across different broader index regime environments:

Summary table for Forward Performance Report
Regime	Total Signals	Hit Rate	Avg. Return	Avg. MFE	Avg. MAE
RANGE	1	`0.0%`	`+10.18%`	`+12.28%`	`-10.07%`
TREND_DOWN	1	`0.0%`	`+23.51%`	`+24.40%`	`-1.52%`
TREND_UP	5	`0.0%`	`+9.25%`	`+11.93%`	`-5.71%`

🔧 Performance by Algorithmic Setup Type

Identifies which setup triggers had the highest forward accuracy:

Summary table for Forward Performance Report
Setup Type	Total Signals	Hit Rate	Avg. Return	Avg. MFE	Avg. MAE
`None`	6	`0.0%`	`+9.40%`	`+11.99%`	`-6.43%`
`Overnight Premium`	1	`0.0%`	`+23.51%`	`+24.40%`	`-1.52%`

📋 Signal Execution Details Ledger

The complete ledger of all tracked and published signals:

Summary table for Forward Performance Report
Symbol	Date	Score	Rating	Setup	Close Price	Status	Return (20d)	MAE	MFE
HINDALCO	2026-03-25	77	Buy	Overnight Premium	867.90	Completed	`+23.51%`	`-1.52%`	`+24.40%`
FEDERALBNK	2026-03-25	66	Watchlist	None	270.90	Completed	`+7.77%`	`-5.30%`	`+10.37%`
HINDPETRO	2026-03-25	63	Watchlist	None	345.30	Completed	`+10.05%`	`-7.94%`	`+12.29%`
OIL	2026-03-25	72	Watchlist	None	472.00	Completed	`+5.37%`	`-3.28%`	`+6.14%`
LAURUSLABS	2026-03-25	72	Watchlist	None	1021.10	Completed	`+6.64%`	`-3.56%`	`+12.11%`
IDEA	2026-03-25	66	Watchlist	None	9.04	Completed	`+10.18%`	`-10.07%`	`+12.28%`
AARTIIND	2026-03-25	61	Watchlist	None	431.45	Completed	`+16.41%`	`-8.45%`	`+18.72%`